Sin palabras...
--Rex
–¿Qué estrategias usaba para vender?
–Y... les decía: “Aprovechá porque se va, no hay más”. Y tal vez tenía el depósito lleno (Risas). Tenés que ser un entusiasta.
...
–¿Qué mira en la televisión?
–Actualidad y deportes. A veces veo a Tinelli.
Ver aqui
Sunday, August 31, 2008
McCain, Obama y el voto latino
De acuerdo al Pew Center McCain solo cuenta con el 23% del voto latino. Historicamente un candidato para resultar vencedor necesita al menos el 30% de este voto porcentaje que McCain no alcanza.
McCain aun no ha conseguido atraer a este electorado.
McCain tiene asesores (con respecto a Latinoamerica) de mucho mas peso de su lado. Otto Reich (a heavyweight) es asesor de McCain, un desconocido "Profesor Restrepo" es asesor de Obama. McCain se enfrento con su propio partido por tratar de pasar la reforma migratoria, Obama estuvo ausente. McCain visito varias veces la region. Obama no tuvo ni tiene mayores contactos con latinoamerica, ademas de desconocer la region.
Obama es proteccionista, lo cual no es "good news" para latinoamerica. Propone reformar NAFTA se opuso a CAFTA y al acuerdo con Colombia.
McCain aun no ha conseguido atraer a este electorado.
McCain tiene asesores (con respecto a Latinoamerica) de mucho mas peso de su lado. Otto Reich (a heavyweight) es asesor de McCain, un desconocido "Profesor Restrepo" es asesor de Obama. McCain se enfrento con su propio partido por tratar de pasar la reforma migratoria, Obama estuvo ausente. McCain visito varias veces la region. Obama no tuvo ni tiene mayores contactos con latinoamerica, ademas de desconocer la region.
Obama es proteccionista, lo cual no es "good news" para latinoamerica. Propone reformar NAFTA se opuso a CAFTA y al acuerdo con Colombia.
What if Obama Loses?
After the phony roll call vote was taken here to formally nominate Barack Obama--a roll call that did not remotely reflect the true delegate strength of Hillary--the media exploded in an orgy of celebration about the historic character of the moment to which they had just been privileged to be witness.
...
The first black presidential nominee ever of a major party in history!” was proclaimed. Coming on the 45th anniversary of Dr. King’s “I Have a Dream” speech, Barack’s nomination is being hailed as the last great step forward in the long march to equality and justice in America.
...
The moral pressure to join the march of history is enormous.
...
Abroad, we are told, Europe and the Third World are awaiting the moment when America turns her back on her racist past and elevates this black man to the presidency. The subtext is that this is not just a political contest, but a moral test for America.
...
Questions arise. With this immense moral and emotional investment in a Barack victory--by 94 to 1 in one poll black America is behind him--what happens if the nation decides he is too radical, too inexperienced, too callow, too risky to be president?
What happens if the American people reject their marching orders and say no to Barack and black America? What happens if all the hopes and dreams, hype and hoopla, end in disillusionment?
Would the defeat of Barack Obama be taken as an affront to black America? Could we be in for a time of deepening racial division rather than healing? Could we be in for a long, hot autumn like the long, hot summers some of us recall from 40 years ago?
One black preacher here suggested as much to me.
Should that happen, the people who have framed this election as a contest between morality and racial justice on one side, and the clammy hand of America’s racist past on the other, will bear the same moral responsibility as did the advocates of mass civil obedience for the racial riots of the 1960s that followed.
Barack has just shot 6 points ahead of McCain. But he has not yet closed the sale. And to prevent his closing of the sale, the GOP must raise doubts in the public mind as to whether he is really a man of Middle America or the closet radical of the Rev. Wright’s congregation who said of Pennsylvanians that they are bitter folks, who cling to their Bibles, bigotries and guns because the world has left them behind.
No candidate has ever been nominated by a major party with fewer credentials or a weaker claim to the presidency, or more doubts as to his core beliefs. If Obama wins, the country could be in real trouble. And if he loses, the country could be in real trouble.
See here
Related articles:
Poll shows no convention bounce for Obama
Ver aqui
...
The first black presidential nominee ever of a major party in history!” was proclaimed. Coming on the 45th anniversary of Dr. King’s “I Have a Dream” speech, Barack’s nomination is being hailed as the last great step forward in the long march to equality and justice in America.
...
The moral pressure to join the march of history is enormous.
...
Abroad, we are told, Europe and the Third World are awaiting the moment when America turns her back on her racist past and elevates this black man to the presidency. The subtext is that this is not just a political contest, but a moral test for America.
...
Questions arise. With this immense moral and emotional investment in a Barack victory--by 94 to 1 in one poll black America is behind him--what happens if the nation decides he is too radical, too inexperienced, too callow, too risky to be president?
What happens if the American people reject their marching orders and say no to Barack and black America? What happens if all the hopes and dreams, hype and hoopla, end in disillusionment?
Would the defeat of Barack Obama be taken as an affront to black America? Could we be in for a time of deepening racial division rather than healing? Could we be in for a long, hot autumn like the long, hot summers some of us recall from 40 years ago?
One black preacher here suggested as much to me.
Should that happen, the people who have framed this election as a contest between morality and racial justice on one side, and the clammy hand of America’s racist past on the other, will bear the same moral responsibility as did the advocates of mass civil obedience for the racial riots of the 1960s that followed.
Barack has just shot 6 points ahead of McCain. But he has not yet closed the sale. And to prevent his closing of the sale, the GOP must raise doubts in the public mind as to whether he is really a man of Middle America or the closet radical of the Rev. Wright’s congregation who said of Pennsylvanians that they are bitter folks, who cling to their Bibles, bigotries and guns because the world has left them behind.
No candidate has ever been nominated by a major party with fewer credentials or a weaker claim to the presidency, or more doubts as to his core beliefs. If Obama wins, the country could be in real trouble. And if he loses, the country could be in real trouble.
See here
Related articles:
Poll shows no convention bounce for Obama
Ver aqui
Friday, August 29, 2008
Obama's secret identity. Obama is Cass Sunstein
Dice Nate Oman en Concurring Opinions:
Cass Sunstein, however, seems to be out to persuade people like me to support Obama. He has done a nice podcast (See here) on why conservatives should support Obama, and now he's got an article in the New Republic explaining Obama's pragmatism. Sunstein writes of him:
When he offers visionary approaches, he does so as a visionary minimalist--that is, as someone who attempts to accommodate, rather than to repudiate, the defining beliefs of most Americans. His reluctance to challenge people's deepest commitments might turn out to be what makes ambitious plans possible--notwithstanding the hopes of the far left and the cartoons of the far right. He goes on to insist, "Above all, Obama's form of pragmatism is heavily empirical; he wants to know what will work."
See here
So it turns out that Obama is a minimalist empiricist who believes in market-based approaches for pursuing progressive ends. In short, Obama is...Cass Sunstein.
Cass Sunstein, however, seems to be out to persuade people like me to support Obama. He has done a nice podcast (See here) on why conservatives should support Obama, and now he's got an article in the New Republic explaining Obama's pragmatism. Sunstein writes of him:
When he offers visionary approaches, he does so as a visionary minimalist--that is, as someone who attempts to accommodate, rather than to repudiate, the defining beliefs of most Americans. His reluctance to challenge people's deepest commitments might turn out to be what makes ambitious plans possible--notwithstanding the hopes of the far left and the cartoons of the far right. He goes on to insist, "Above all, Obama's form of pragmatism is heavily empirical; he wants to know what will work."
See here
So it turns out that Obama is a minimalist empiricist who believes in market-based approaches for pursuing progressive ends. In short, Obama is...Cass Sunstein.
Thursday, August 28, 2008
La Convención Democrata
Anoche vi una parte del discurso de Bill Clinton, sin duda el mejor que he escuchado hasta ahora de la Convencion Democrata. En realidad todos estuvieron bien, Michelle Obama, Hillary, y el VP Joe Biden pero Bill Clinton sobrepaso a todos.
En esta era parece que las elecciones se deciden en la TV, el candidato mas fotogenico, el que aparece mejor, el que elige cuidadosamente las palabras para impacto, etc. Todo es un gran show pero al final del dia veremos que tanta perfeccion que el publico exige a los candidatos, como si fueran estrellas de Hollywood, se traduzca al momento de las grandes decisiones.
En un tiempo me llegaron a aburrir el espectaculo de las convenciones, veia a los discursos demasiado "scripted" (acartonados) como dicen aqui, nada espontaneo todo un gran marketing con "focus groups" donde cada palabra, cada gesto era analizado por expertos, todo demasiado ensayado. Pero en estas elecciones dada la crisis en que se vive, estamos muy pendientes de los futuros lideres y la gente parece estar motivada.
Mas adelante vendran los debates, un match que se ha impuesto en este pais y forma parte del ritual por el que deben pasar los candidatos.
No podia de dejar de pensar en Argentina y de hecho no estan ni cerca de lo que se ve aqui. Alli pusieron a una candidata a dedo a la que se escondia y se evitaba que hiciera declaraciones publicas para no exponerla. Una de las pruebas mas contundentes de las limitaciones que tenia. Impensable en estas latitudes, dos mundos diferentes. Una estafa lo que han hecho alli. La gente deberia estar indignada.
Otra opinión: John Derbyshire
The Election From Hell
I won’t be watching either of the party conventions.
I can’t say that I ever felt much warmth for either John McCain or Barack Obama. The first struck me as a burned-out Senate seat-warmer (term limits! oh please, term limits!) who had shown outstanding courage as a young warrior but considerable wrong-headedness as a politician — a category of persons with which history has, after all, been well supplied. Obama I have never seen as anything but a bag of wind, possessed of great political guile, but steeped in the faddy, solipsistic notions of post-1960s college leftism.
That these two men are much worse than I thought only became apparent to me at the Saddleback interviews conducted by Baptist minister Rick Warren in front of 5,000 of his parishioners. Here the truth came out. These are not merely two different specimens of mediocrity, as is usual in presidential campaigns; they are two different specimens of love-the-world romantic fantasist.
Perhaps there is at least — I am clutching at straws, dear reader — some tiny element of choice in the fact that McCain and Obama are methodologically different in their desires to spend as much of America’s resources as they can get their hands on to lift up foreign peoples in foreign places. In accordance with their youthful experiences, McCain sees the task in warlike terms: “evil must be defeated.” To Obama it’s more a matter of community organizing: “building public health infrastructure around the world.”
Both men are determined to set this planet to rights, though, and hang the cost. Doesn’t the United States have infinite resources? Of course it does. Eliminator of All Evil, or Welfare Agency to the World; Brig. Gen. Jack D. Ripper or Albert Schweizer; you just have to choose. Can we afford it? Yes, we can! (That faint sound you hear? That’s the clink-clink of devaluing dollars — just ignore it.)
One hardly knows where to start with this gibberish. With eliminating evil, perhaps.
Warren: How about the issue of evil? … Does evil exist and if so, should we ignore it, negotiate with it, contain it or defeat it?
McCain: Defeat it. … Of course evil must be defeated …
Warren didn’t raise a peep. This is a Christian church? Hasn’t anybody present heard of original sin? The only way to eliminate evil is to eliminate the human race. I wouldn’t rule out the possibility that McCain’s policies will have that result, but if it’s the result he intends, he ought to tell us.
Warren: There are 148 million orphans in the world, 148 million kids growing up without Mommies and Dads. … Would you be willing to consider and even commit to doing some kind of emergency plan for orphans like President Bush did with AIDS?
Obama: I think it’s a great idea. … I think that part of our plan though has to be how do we prevent more orphans in the first place and that means that we’re helping to build the public health infrastructure around the world …
See here
En esta era parece que las elecciones se deciden en la TV, el candidato mas fotogenico, el que aparece mejor, el que elige cuidadosamente las palabras para impacto, etc. Todo es un gran show pero al final del dia veremos que tanta perfeccion que el publico exige a los candidatos, como si fueran estrellas de Hollywood, se traduzca al momento de las grandes decisiones.
En un tiempo me llegaron a aburrir el espectaculo de las convenciones, veia a los discursos demasiado "scripted" (acartonados) como dicen aqui, nada espontaneo todo un gran marketing con "focus groups" donde cada palabra, cada gesto era analizado por expertos, todo demasiado ensayado. Pero en estas elecciones dada la crisis en que se vive, estamos muy pendientes de los futuros lideres y la gente parece estar motivada.
Mas adelante vendran los debates, un match que se ha impuesto en este pais y forma parte del ritual por el que deben pasar los candidatos.
No podia de dejar de pensar en Argentina y de hecho no estan ni cerca de lo que se ve aqui. Alli pusieron a una candidata a dedo a la que se escondia y se evitaba que hiciera declaraciones publicas para no exponerla. Una de las pruebas mas contundentes de las limitaciones que tenia. Impensable en estas latitudes, dos mundos diferentes. Una estafa lo que han hecho alli. La gente deberia estar indignada.
Otra opinión: John Derbyshire
The Election From Hell
I won’t be watching either of the party conventions.
I can’t say that I ever felt much warmth for either John McCain or Barack Obama. The first struck me as a burned-out Senate seat-warmer (term limits! oh please, term limits!) who had shown outstanding courage as a young warrior but considerable wrong-headedness as a politician — a category of persons with which history has, after all, been well supplied. Obama I have never seen as anything but a bag of wind, possessed of great political guile, but steeped in the faddy, solipsistic notions of post-1960s college leftism.
That these two men are much worse than I thought only became apparent to me at the Saddleback interviews conducted by Baptist minister Rick Warren in front of 5,000 of his parishioners. Here the truth came out. These are not merely two different specimens of mediocrity, as is usual in presidential campaigns; they are two different specimens of love-the-world romantic fantasist.
Perhaps there is at least — I am clutching at straws, dear reader — some tiny element of choice in the fact that McCain and Obama are methodologically different in their desires to spend as much of America’s resources as they can get their hands on to lift up foreign peoples in foreign places. In accordance with their youthful experiences, McCain sees the task in warlike terms: “evil must be defeated.” To Obama it’s more a matter of community organizing: “building public health infrastructure around the world.”
Both men are determined to set this planet to rights, though, and hang the cost. Doesn’t the United States have infinite resources? Of course it does. Eliminator of All Evil, or Welfare Agency to the World; Brig. Gen. Jack D. Ripper or Albert Schweizer; you just have to choose. Can we afford it? Yes, we can! (That faint sound you hear? That’s the clink-clink of devaluing dollars — just ignore it.)
One hardly knows where to start with this gibberish. With eliminating evil, perhaps.
Warren: How about the issue of evil? … Does evil exist and if so, should we ignore it, negotiate with it, contain it or defeat it?
McCain: Defeat it. … Of course evil must be defeated …
Warren didn’t raise a peep. This is a Christian church? Hasn’t anybody present heard of original sin? The only way to eliminate evil is to eliminate the human race. I wouldn’t rule out the possibility that McCain’s policies will have that result, but if it’s the result he intends, he ought to tell us.
Warren: There are 148 million orphans in the world, 148 million kids growing up without Mommies and Dads. … Would you be willing to consider and even commit to doing some kind of emergency plan for orphans like President Bush did with AIDS?
Obama: I think it’s a great idea. … I think that part of our plan though has to be how do we prevent more orphans in the first place and that means that we’re helping to build the public health infrastructure around the world …
See here
Wednesday, August 27, 2008
Sobre Biden v. Bork
Dice el Profesor Jeffrey Rosen en el New York Times sobre la participacion del Senador Biden en la audiencia de confirmacion de Bork:
"The charge is unfair. Twenty-one years ago, during the Bork nomination, I worked for Mr. Biden as an intern on the Senate Judiciary Committee. From that modest vantage point, I saw Mr. Biden struggle to focus the hearings on Judge Bork’s judicial philosophy rather than his private life, in the face of overwhelming political pressure from interest groups on the left. Mr. Biden’s efforts to protect Judge Bork’s and Judge Thomas’s privacy demonstrate that, although he was present at the creation of the post-Bork era, he did not cause it. On the contrary, he did everything in his power to resist the collapse of boundaries between nominees’ public and private lives."
The Myth of Biden v. Bork
Ver aqui
"The charge is unfair. Twenty-one years ago, during the Bork nomination, I worked for Mr. Biden as an intern on the Senate Judiciary Committee. From that modest vantage point, I saw Mr. Biden struggle to focus the hearings on Judge Bork’s judicial philosophy rather than his private life, in the face of overwhelming political pressure from interest groups on the left. Mr. Biden’s efforts to protect Judge Bork’s and Judge Thomas’s privacy demonstrate that, although he was present at the creation of the post-Bork era, he did not cause it. On the contrary, he did everything in his power to resist the collapse of boundaries between nominees’ public and private lives."
The Myth of Biden v. Bork
Ver aqui
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